Why California remembers the effort against the government. Newsom history does not repeat


Los Angeles – Recall attempt against the California government. Gavin Newsom is already hinting at turning into another circus such as the one that Gray Davis eventually brought in 2003.

On Tuesday, Axios reported that while Caitlyn Jenner, a former reality star, Olympian and even more famously important to the Kardashian clan, is considering entering the gubernatorial race if a recall petition qualifies for a ballot. Still working. NBC has not verified whether Jenner intends to run and has not publicly announced the decision.

Jenner’s potential candidacy marks the first time many strategists believe there will be a long line of celebrity and novelty candidates that could closely show California voters in 2003 when adult film star Mary Carrie, child actor Gary Coleman And was added by “Hitler” publisher Larry Flynt. He will be named in the list of more than 100 governors. Action hero Arnold Schwarzenegger eventually won that election.

Nearly 20 years later, the comparison stops there.

None of the three Republican contenders have announced their intention to run for governor, with a statewide name similar to Schwarzenegger’s. Kevin Faulkner, by far considered a possible precursor, is the former mayor of San Diego and is not well known outside of Southern California. Businessman John Cox lost to Newsome in double digits in 2018 and Doug Ogg, a former congressman, also ran for governor before being out of the race in 2018, The Associated Press reported.

“The biggest thing is that Newsome has to keep a Democrat away from the race,” said Rob Stutzman, a Republican strategist and former spokesman for Schwarzenegger. “So far so good, but it’s still easy.” We have been waiting for several months. “

Remembrance organizers say they collected more than 2 million signatures, up from the 1.5 million needed to meet the state’s limits. Counties are reported to have their height up to the end of April and to state election officials for verification of signatures. It would take about 30 days for the California Department of Finance to estimate the cost for an election before reviewing the findings of a legislative panel. Only after this the date of the election will be determined.

If a recall qualifies for a ballot, voters will be asked two questions: first is whether they want to recall Newsom and the second will be what they should replace. There is no limit to how many people can walk, and the one who gets the most votes wins.

Since Davis was recalled in 2003, California’s political landscape has expanded rapidly to the left. Registered Republican voters accounted for 35 percent of California voters, according to the Office of the California Secretary of State in February 2003, while they accounted for 24 percent this year.

In contrast, 44 percent were registered as Democrats in 2003 and this year it is 46 percent. In 2003, 15 percent refused to state which party they belonged to, while this year 24 percent of voters did not register under “any party’s priority”.

During a Facebook Live panel hosted by the Sacramento Press Club, Democratic strategist Katie Merrill said Wednesday, “Politically we were a completely different state in 2003.” “If you look at the statewide race, the Republican Party has effectively become the third party in California.”

Democratic strategist Ace Smith was added during the panel: “This is a different time. We are in a state where there were clearly Republicans who were somewhat liberal. Trump’s Republican Party is defeated [its] way.”

Former President Donald Trump, whose name has repeatedly been invited as a kind of political party, marks another notable difference between the recall effort against Newsom and the campaign against Davis.

Since the effort to exclude Newsom was first revealed, California Democrats have rallied collectively around the notion that the recall campaign is bitter about Trump’s loyalists losing President Joe Biden to the White House.

Last month, Dan Newman, a campaign consultant for Newsom, called the recall campaign “pure partisan politics”, while Newsom said white supremacist and right-wing militia groups, including the Proud Boys, were among the recallers.

“We are worried about future violence as we move further away from the January uprising and we put our guard down. We must be vigilant about these groups and how serious they are, “Newsom said in March on MSNBC. All you need is a quarter of people who have supported Trump signing just one petition and it seems That they did it. “

In 2003, Davis had no such audience to divert attention from his office. When he won a second term in 2002, he was already mired in various crises. Davis was heavily criticized for reacting to the power crisis for more than one million residents statewide between 2000 and 2001. To handle the situation, but the defeat damaged his reputation.

Davis won the election in 2002 with 47 percent of the vote. As of 2003, only 27 percent of California voters approved their job performance, the Los Angeles Times reported at the time. The option to recall Davis received 55 percent of the vote.

In contrast, 40 percent of California voters said they would choose to recall the news policy, and 79 percent of those respondents would identify as Republican, according to a survey by the Public Policy Institute of California, a non-governmental research institute Is according to Newsis approval rating also exceeds Davis’ going into a recall. As of last month, Newsom’s approval rating among potential voters is at 53 percent with 42 percent of respondents saying they disapprove of their job performance.

“If no other Democrat comes into the race and it stays like this – the economy is recovering, the coronovirus doesn’t spill again, and it all looks good – then he’s not going to be nearly as unpopular as Davis. Is, ”Stutzman said.

Unlike Davis, whose administration had a deficit of $ 38 billion, Newsome claimed a one-time surplus of $ 15 billion at the beginning of the year, according to its 2021–22 budget proposal. During the epidemic, wealthy Californians made $ 185 billion in capital gains income, or money earned from property sales, resulting in $ 18.5 billion in tax revenue for the state, The Associated Press reported. Due to the surplus, Newsom’s plan would cost $ 25 billion more than the previous year.

But record homelessness and unemployment have continued to haunt California throughout the epidemic, and now experts are warning that another disastrous round of fires could occur in the state this summer. As the Battle of the Residents picks up on many fronts, remember that backers say it is too soon to celebrate the victory.

“What a disconnect,” said Anne Dunsmore, the fundraiser. “You have people living on the streets, their tents are flooding, and we’re going to brag about a surplus?” Go spend it. “


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