Experts warn that it may be too late to stop the more contagious type of virus

London – Dozens of countries have effectively tried to close the islands of the United Kingdom in a drastic effort to stop the global spread of a new coronovirus variant.

But it may be too late, some experts warn.

The new version – apparently so contagious – prompted Prime Minister Boris Johnson to effectively cancel Christmas for millions – already in places such as Denmark, the Netherlands, Belgium, Italy, Iceland and Australia Has been found at

A similar variant, which emerged separately but shares the same mutation in its spike protein, has been found in South Africa, according to Nextrain, an open-source project that tracks the genetic code in real-time.

Some believe the UK version is already likely to be in the United States, where the federal government has so far resisted calls to tighten already strict travel restrictions in Europe.

Ultimately, the travel ban may slow down the new version. In the long run, however, many scientists feel that this strain, or any of it, will simply compete to bring others into vogue and become the dominant version of the virus worldwide.

“I have no doubt that it is coming,” said Hajo Zeib, a professor at the Leibniz Institute for Prevention Research and Epidemiology in Germany.

“It’s hard to contain everything we’ve learned about the virus,” he said, “and I don’t think it’s possible to stop it from spreading internationally.”

Tuesday for the ferry terminal at Dover.Justin Tallis / AFP – Getty Images

Dr. Anthony Fauci, America’s top infectious disease specialist, is among those who believe that the possibility of a new version has already hit our crores. He says there is not enough evidence to advise the White House to implement the additional travel restrictions that President Donald Trump imposed during the initial weeks of the epidemic.

Trump banned any foreign nationals living in Europe in the last 14 days, but it does not apply to US citizens, legal residents or their family members under 21 years of age. An average of six flights still operate between London and New York. Everyday.

Several airlines, including Delta and British Airways, agreed to Andrew Cuomo’s request from the New York government on Monday that John F. of New York. Any UK passengers flying to Kennedy International Airport must demonstrate a negative coronovirus PCR test prior to travel.

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Dr. Emma Hodcroft, a molecular epidemiologist and co-founder of Nextstrain, is among those who believe it will be possible to include the new version. But international sanctions will do little good if governments fail to contain the virus domestically.

Hodcroft says governments will need to improve their “test, trace, and isolate” systems – something most of the West have failed this year – and perhaps even develop targeted PCR tests that will soon develop new versions. Can detect

“I don’t think it’s too late, but only if the locations start taking action and have a plan,” she said.

The Spanish government traveled out of Gibraltar International Airport on Tuesday after announcing a ban on all UK passengers except the Spanish government and residents before entering the country.John Nazca / Reuters

Many scientists are not aware – that’s why they are taking care that this variant does not spread faster than the virus.

Viruses mutate frequently and this coronovirus has done many times this year. There is no evidence that it is more lethal nor vaccines will be any less effective against it.

BioNTech, which together with Pfizer develops the Covid-19 vaccine, which is being administered in the US and the UK, is testing to see if its efficacy will be affected.

“There is no reason to be worried or worried until we get the data,” Biotech chief executive Yugur Sahin said at a news conference on Tuesday.

‘Plague Island’

Experts and governments worry that this version has exploded at an alarming pace in London and the south-east of England.

This is why Britain has earned the manor of “Plague Island” – an unhappy nickname for a place that is usually eager for trumpet examples of its own extravagance.

Johnson has put his 38 million people on lockout and more than 40 countries have banned travel from the UK. One of them is France, a bottleneck through which British trade passes. This actually caused the blockade to leave at least 1,500 trucks stranded around the main English port of Dover.

A passenger arriving from the United Kingdom receives a Kovid-19 coronovirus test at the Sri Guru Ram Das Ji International Airport in India on Tuesday.Narinder Nanu / AFP – Getty Images

For Johnson, who is trying to negotiate a trade deal with the European Union simultaneously, these crises are growing rapidly. The chaos surrounding Dover is an unexpected part of how Britain should fail to negotiate an agreement with the European Union by the 31 December deadline.

However, for all the poor PRs, it is unclear whether this variant is actually mutated in the UK, or is it just that it was found earlier thanks to the country’s world-leading genomic analysis capabilities.

Modeled by scientists advising the British government, it is estimated to be 71 percent more permeable than others.

While there is some margin for error around the figure, the British government’s New and Emerging Respiratory Virus Threats Advisory Group, or Nervtag, looked at four different types of data and said in a briefing on Friday that it was “moderate confidence” There was a substantial increase in transmission capacity. “

Although they have not confirmed it, the advisory group believes there is evidence that children may be more susceptible to it than other strains.

“There is a sign that it has a high propensity to infect children,” Neil Ferguson, a professor and infectious disease epidemiologist at Imperial College London, who also sits on Nervtag, reported on Monday. “We haven’t established any kind of efficiency on that, but we can see it in the data. We’ll need to collect more data to see how it behaves next.”

It is these early signs that have inspired other countries to undertake such drastic maneuvers. On Tuesday, the European Commission, the executive arm of the European Union, recommended that 27 EU member states should remove any unilateral travel restrictions on the UK and instead discourage all but necessary travel.

And Dean of Brown University’s School of Public Health, Drs. Ashish Jha said that while such restrictions “will slow it down, I doubt it will put it out of the US”.

Jha told TODAY on Tuesday, “I’d be surprised if we didn’t already have some cases in this country. That’s the nature of the global epidemic.” “I don’t think we’ll finally be able to keep this tension out of America”

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